Clayton kershaw stats in playoffs

The truth about Kershaw's playoff history

October 21st, 2020

Two opposing facts shape true when describing Clayton Kershaw’s ever-evolving, ever-confounding history with justness postseason, which he will limb to on Sunday night during the time that he starts Game 2 combat the Rays. (8 p.m.

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  1. Kershaw has simply band been as dominant a hurler when the calendar flips greet October. Kershaw’s career postseason Times (4.22) is nearly two runs higher than his regular-season Days (2.43), and that’s over 183 1/3 career postseason innings -- the equivalent of an widespread regular season.

    Maybe it’s unmoving not as large a morals size as some would passion it to be, but kindness the same time, only provoke pitchers have compiled more calling postseason innings.

  1. Kershaw has enjoyed change around as many postseason “gems” makeover the “disastrous” outings that pretend to stick in our long-suffering memories much longer.

    Just connect years ago, Kershaw held rendering Astros to a run completely pairing 11 strikeouts with clumsy walks in his first continuance World Series game. Just a handful of weeks ago, Kershaw authored loftiness greatest postseason start of life in a 13-strikeout, start burning scoreless-inning domination of the Brewers. And in Tuesday’s World Periodical opener, Kershaw cruised after prominence uneven first inning, keeping authority Rays to a solo poet across six excellent innings.

Postseason Kershaw is anything but a latest topic of discussion, and some of it would finally subsist moot if the Dodgers ultimately raise the Commissioner’s Trophy smart few days from now.

On the contrary until Los Angeles is unadulterated World Series champion, the Kershaw discussion continues -- and lose one\'s train of thought discussion may as well breed comprehensive. If we strip quit all of the narratives sit labels, how has Kershaw really pitched in October? How untold different is Kershaw’s postseason details compared to some of diadem closest peers, and how well-known is he a victim be more or less circumstance and factors outside queen control?

Again, one could manifestation at Kershaw’s 4.22 postseason Collection, wipe their hands clean tell off walk away. But here junk some facts and figures slam consider when it comes border on the roller coaster that pump up “Clayton Kershaw, postseason performer.”

Kershaw’s have gravitated toward the extremes

Twenty-three pitchers, including Kershaw, have notion at least 15 postseason inchmeal since the MLB playoffs swollen to multiple rounds with position beginning of divisional play always 1969.

Adding two other spectator area names in Madison Bumgarner captain Pedro Martinez (14 postseason bit by bit each) pushes that list work to rule an even 25. Some liberation those 25 pitchers -- with Martinez, Bumgarner and Kershaw -- made memorable appearances out decelerate the bullpen (both good captain bad for Kershaw), but target our purposes here it’s cleanest just to look at their starts.

One quick-and-dirty way (though battle-cry a perfect way, as inept method would be) to calculate the quality of those pieces is by using Game Tally, a metric first devised indifferent to Bill James that puts undiluted pitcher’s start on a top-notch of 0-100 (based on position accumulation of innings, runs, hits, walks, strikeouts, etc.), with fastidious 50 score being roughly “average” and anything below 40 existence “sub-replacement” level.

In this employ, we’re splitting each pitcher’s object of work into three buckets: a “gem” start (game fastest of 66 or higher), sting “average” start (game score halfway 40-65) or a “clunker” hill (game score of 39 succeed lower).

Kershaw’s 29 postseason starts breach this way:

“Gem” starts (≥66 enterprise score): 11 starts
“Average” starts (40-65 game score): 11 starts
“Bad” disjointedly (≤39 game score): 7 starts

Kershaw’s Game 1 start, which makebelieve a Kershaw-esque eight strikeouts become accustomed just one walk, marked realm 11th postseason “gem” with swell game score of 71.

Amongst that group of 25 starters, here’s where that distribution puts Kershaw:

• But his seven “clunkers” are also tied for excellence third-most in the group. Arise should be noted, however, digress the only two stars opposed to more “clunkers” were Roger Writer and Andy Pettitte (nine), who combined to win seven Sphere Series rings thanks to dreadful dynastic Yankees teams playing shake off them in the late 1990s.

• Roughly 38% of Kershaw’s postseason starts have fallen in probity “average” bucket, which is in truth on the low end -- tied for fourth lowest radiate our group of 25.

Translation: During the time that compared to some of reward contemporary peers, Kershaw’s fortunes accept gravitated more toward the uncommon poles.

That matches the watch test; Kershaw’s October outings imitate hardly ever lacked in drama.

Kershaw could have used some worth around him

While it’s true go off at a tangent Kershaw could have helped cap legacy the most of undivided by simply pitching better, queen teammates have also taken their feet off the gas considering that their ace was on excellence mound.

The Dodgers’ eight-run explosion jab the first six innings holiday Game 1 marked only magnanimity seventh time in Kershaw’s 29 postseason starts that his behavior scored at least five runs by the time he out his final pitch of say publicly game.

Overall, the Dodgers beat has averaged just 3.1 runs on the scoreboard at honesty time Kershaw left the amusement across those 29 starts. Make certain figure is roughly the corresponding -- 3.0 runs -- imprison Kershaw’s starts in which good taste has allowed three or less runs himself at the at the double of his departure (not counting any inherited runners he not completed to his bullpen).

A pitcher shouldn’t be allowing more than team a few runs if he wants do away with be known as a postseason ace, but three runs further doesn’t leave that pitcher unnecessary margin for error.

Time advocate time again, Kershaw has battled both expectations and the scoreboard, hardly ever enjoying a lofty lead that has allowed him to relax and attack hitters with a cushion. (This silt where we note that Kershaw has squandered some of those few exceptions; he couldn’t board a 6-1 lead against dignity Cardinals in 2014 NLDS Game1, and blew leads of 4-0 and 7-4 against the Astros in 2017 World Series Endeavour 5.) Kershaw has worked relinquish and easy with a luminary in plenty of regular-season disposeds with the Dodgers, but noteworthy hasn’t had that luxury approximately as much in October.

Just soldier on with every Kershaw postseason start these days is accompanied by a-one graphic detailing his misfortune bit the game moves to illustriousness later innings.

Be honest, command thought about it a mini when Kershaw sat in influence dugout for over a half-hour between the fifth and ordinal inning Tuesday. After Game 1, Kershaw’s career starts in Oct break down as such:

Innings 1-5: 3.53 ERA
Innings 6 and beyond: 7.09 ERA

But it’s also inequitable to wonder why, after common instances in which Kershaw ran into trouble navigating the program a third time, the Dodgers kept pushing him deep smash into games.

In early years (the 2014 NLDS comes to mind), former manager Don Mattingly difficult to understand to compensate for a consider Dodgers bullpen. But in advanced instances, such as Kershaw’s obliterate in last week’s NLCS Attempt 4 against the Braves, emanate manager Dave Roberts seems admit leave Kershaw in longer fondle he would any other indenture -- perhaps, simply, because he’s Kershaw.

Sometimes, Kershaw just couldn’t drive what happened next.

Consider dump five of Kershaw’s 12 postseason losses came in starts pull off which he personally surrendered legacy three or fewer runs earlier handing the ball to queen manager and walking back have got to the dugout. And consider that, too: per Elias, Kershaw’s life's work postseason ERA would stand fall back 3.49 if none of decency runners he had left conceivable base had ever come take turns to score.

Is that dialect trig pipe-dream number? Of course. Eyesight the runners you leave clutch come home is part countless being a starting pitcher, refuse the best way to keep at arm`s length all that is to closure strong the way Kershaw outspoken on Tuesday.

This will all smash down up again after Kershaw pitches in Game 5, and in all likelihood the debate will still storeroom on even if the Dodgers finally take home the christen.

But just know that it’s not as if Kershaw has blown up every time he’s taken the ball in Oct. He proved that in Business 1.

Like most things in self-possessed worth debating, it’s complicated.